Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.018490 0.019816 0.021192 0.022730 0.024401 0.026164 0.028167
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016104 0.017997 0.020064 0.022492 0.025274 0.028374 0.032101
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014417 0.016621 0.019115 0.022161 0.025798 0.030023 0.035334
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013348 0.015781 0.018620 0.022197 0.026616 0.031935 0.038882
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012336 0.014893 0.017951 0.021908 0.026939 0.033181 0.041607
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011431 0.014050 0.017250 0.021487 0.027011 0.034052 0.043841
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.010755 0.013435 0.016775 0.021292 0.027319 0.035196 0.046452
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010158 0.012878 0.016327 0.021083 0.027565 0.036234 0.048946
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009536 0.012247 0.015739 0.020638 0.027446 0.036740 0.050692
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009220 0.011999 0.015637 0.020831 0.028192 0.038462 0.054261
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.008854 0.011661 0.015390 0.020800 0.028607 0.039719 0.057207
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008599 0.011459 0.015313 0.020995 0.029342 0.041464 0.060981
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008206 0.011052 0.014936 0.020744 0.029419 0.042247 0.063342
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007893 0.010741 0.014679 0.020652 0.029720 0.043377 0.066317
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007548 0.010370 0.014316 0.020380 0.029727 0.044043 0.068572
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007320 0.010155 0.014168 0.020419 0.030205 0.045461 0.072150
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007022 0.009825 0.013836 0.020158 0.030195 0.046090 0.074423
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006710 0.009462 0.013439 0.019777 0.029967 0.046345 0.076053
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006472 0.009201 0.013182 0.019600 0.030056 0.047118 0.078632
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006246 0.008947 0.012926 0.019410 0.030110 0.047826 0.081132
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005979 0.008622 0.012548 0.019007 0.029787 0.047869 0.082404
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005869 0.008533 0.012529 0.019182 0.030438 0.049623 0.086981
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005716 0.008371 0.012391 0.019154 0.030738 0.050772 0.090480